Talks to Watch

Why Japan's Conviction Rate is 99% (Actually Explained)

82K views · Jan 28, 2020 · 11:10 · 3 HN recommenders · 4 mentions · discussed 2020

Yuta explains what Japan's 99% conviction rate actually means, noting that prosecutors drop cases unless confidence is very high. He argues that the number is widely misunderstood and cites his sources.

Why Hacker News points people here: Recommended as a sourced, nuanced corrective whenever the Japanese justice system's conviction rate is raised.

“I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly.”HN comment, 2020

What Hacker News said 4

RecommendsdiegoperiniFeb 2020

“I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly.”

Thorough explanation of 99% conviction rate context

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I'm not Japanese, but I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly. this video The premise is, yes 99% percent is a measured rate but also has no utility in a discussion if the other parts of the big picture is ignored.

in “Japan’s Lost-and-Found System” · view on HN
Recommendsjdtang13Mar 2020

“Here is a video, with references, from a relatively trustworthy source”

Referenced explanation of the 99% conviction figure

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This 99% number does not mean what people think it means. The Japanese prosecution system is a pipeline that strongly filters out unlikely-to-be-convicted cases from the very beginning. Long before you are convicted, you might not even be arrested, or your case gets dismissed earlier in the pipeline. Here is a video, with references, from a relatively trustworthy source: this video

in “Problems with Japan's Covid-19 reports” · view on HN
RecommendskyuudouMay 2020

“You might want to hear what Yuta has to say about this[1].”

Nuanced view of Japanese justice system

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You might want to hear what Yuta has to say about this[1]. It's not as black and white, basically. 1: this video

in “U.S. arrests former Green Beret, son, in connection with Ghosn escape from Japan” · view on HN
Cites itjbay808Feb 2020

“The high conviction rate seems to be because cases are dropped unless the prosecution's confidence is very high”

Explains the high conviction rate

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The high conviction rate seems to be because cases are dropped unless the prosecution's confidence is very high, rather than letting it go to trial. this video

in “Japan’s Lost-and-Found System” · view on HN