Talks to Watch

The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech

1.4M views · Jan 14, 2013 · 1:16:23 · 6 HN recommenders · 7 mentions · discussed 2014–2023

Audio of Charlie Munger's 1995 Harvard speech on the psychology of human misjudgment, laying out a framework of cognitive biases and mental models for decision making. It covers factors like incentives, social proof and denial.

Why Hacker News points people here: HN regards it as a classic to revisit every few years for improving decisions and self-awareness.

“Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech”HN comment, 2020

What Hacker News said 7

Strongly recommendsrasz_plJun 2016

“One of my favourite speeches touching on the subject”

Munger speech on biases, including auctions at 59:30

Full comment

Unless you enjoy misery, trolling, and derive satisfaction from forcing other people to make stupid decisions. Personally I'm more than happy losing a bid if I make someone else suffer winner's curse just because they are blinded by escalation of commitment and a long list of other biases. One of my favourite speeches touching on the subject: The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech bit about auctions is at 59:30 this video text link

in “Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Amateur Auction Theorist” · view on HN
Strongly recommendseigenvalueJul 2016

“I revisit this material every couple years.”

Munger delivering the misjudgment speech

Full comment

You can also listen to him giving this speech here: this video I revisit this material every couple years. It's so easy to fall into these traps in your thinking.

in “The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (2005) [pdf]” · view on HN
Strongly recommendscs702Aug 2020

“Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech”

Munger's classic speech on key mental models

Full comment

Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech given to a Harvard class 25 years ago: "The Psychology of Human Misjudgment," by Charlie Munger this video link If I may paraphrase Mr. Munger, you never want to be a one-legged man in the ass-kicking contest of life.

in “Ask HN: What are some available force multipliers that most people don't know?” · view on HN
Strongly recommendscainxinthNov 2023

“I listen to his lecture on”

Lecture worth revisiting every few years

Full comment

As billionaires go, he seemed unusually down to earth. I listen to his lecture on "The Psychology of Human Misjudgement" every few years: this video

RecommendstimrosenblattSep 2014

“There is a talk by Charlie Munger (of Berkshire Hathaway fame) about decision making.”

Munger on common mistakes in decision making

Full comment

Your first question is "can you make a conscious effort to get better at [being resourceful]?" The answer is almost certainly yes. Techniques for being resourceful are very specific to the individual, so what works for one person may not for another. That being said... The first thing I would do is meditate. It is becoming trendy, but I think for a good reason. By complete coincidence, link is a news article that showed up this morning. I think if a man like Steve Jobs arranges for a book on meditation (and self-actualization) to be given to the attendees of his own funeral, that is a powerful sign. Talk to other people about challenges you face. This sounds simple, but it is effective. Another way of saying "I need a creative solution" is "I need a solution that I wouldn't have come up with". To me, that sounds like "I need a solution someone else came up with". Every successful business leader has advisors. So should you. There is a talk by Charlie Munger (of Berkshire Hathaway fame) about decision making. It tends to focus on mistakes, but if you know what mistakes to avoid, it can help you find the right answer. this video Tell me what you think about these.

in “Ask HN: Practical formula for being relentlessly resourceful?” · view on HN
RecommendsmellingMay 2018

“enlightening”

Helps become more self-aware and change behavior

Full comment

It’s not a rule but an observation. We can certainly become more self-aware and change our behavior. Munger’s Psychology of human misjudgment, for instance, is enlightening: this video

in “Scientists think the cell nucleolus may play an important role in aging” · view on HN
Cites itrgloverFeb 2020
Full comment

For those uncertain of how to treat this information, these are the razors I've used on myself the past few weeks: this video this video

in “Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now” · view on HN