Stanford futurist Tony Seba argues that electric vehicles, battery storage, solar and autonomous vehicles form a 10x exponential disruption that will make fossil fuels obsolete within about a decade. It draws on his Clean Disruption book.
Why Hacker News points people here: HN commenters cite it as a big-picture case for exponential solar and EV adoption, usually with caveats about whether his predictions will hold.
Argues EVs, batteries, solar and autonomy are a 10x exponential disruption.
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but hopefully coming down considerably. Watch this youtube vide of Tony Seba this video (Stanford University futurist Tony Seba spent the last decades studying technological disruptions. He argues that the Electric Vehicle, battery storage, and solar power, along with autonomous vehicles, are a perfect example of a 10x exponential process which will wipe )
Cites itjablJul 2017
“if (big IF ?!) Tony Seba is right, it'll all be over by 2030 anyway for traditional ICE cars”
Tony Seba predicts ICE cars replaced by electric autonomous fleets.
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Well, if (big IF ?!) Tony Seba is right, it'll all be over by 2030 anyway for traditional ICE cars (private ownership of ICE cars to be replaced by fleets of autonomic electrically powered taxis): this video
Cites ittpkjMay 2019
“We could be at the point where solar adoption takes off exponentially.”
Big-picture view of exponential solar and EV adoption.
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We could be at the point where solar adoption takes off exponentially. On a big picture view: Tony Seba: Clean Disruption - Energy & Transportation this video On a more micro level view: Solar power solutions coming to places with no grid: link